'I admit I was wrong': Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed
Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is explaining what happened.
AI polling company defends wrong predictions on the US election
The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and cheaper than traditional polling.
Allan Lichtman Admits He Was Wrong About Harris Election Win, Explains Why
The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to the White House this year.
Allan Lichtman reaffirms 2024 election prediction, takes jab at forecaster Nate Silver
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.
Allan Lichtman taking time to assess why he was wrong about Trump win
Presidential historian Allan Lichtman had correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984 until 2024.
Video: See the moment Lichtman realized his election prediction was wrong
See the moment Lichtman realized his election prediction was wrong Presidential historian Allan Lichtman details why his prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris would defeat President-elect Donald Trump in the race for the White House was incorrect.
Election predictor Allan Lichtman explains his incorrect prediction
Election predictor Allan Lichtman's success rate is now at 81.8%.
CNN on MSN1d
How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t
But just like polls, prediction markets are far from perfect. In 2016, bookmakers told the British public that the smart ...
Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model – and it couldn’t be any closer
Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the ...
Peter Thiel's 'contrarian' election prediction came true
Peter Thiel made a "contrarian" prediction that the election wouldn't be close.He ended up being right, with Trump sweeping ...
New York Magazine5d
Final Polls, Final Predictions, Final Rallies: Live Election Updates
Trump warned of election fraud and called Nancy Pelosi a “bitch” at his final rally. Harris closed out her campaign with ...
FOX 5 New York on MSN9d
2024 presidential election predictions: Experts weigh in
FiveThirtyEight, which uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes, says Trump wins 52 ...
Hosted on MSN2d
Betting odds called the 2024 election better than polls did. What does this mean for the future of prediction markets?
Election Day has come and gone, and once again, millions of people are sifting through the data and trying to make sense of ...
Battle of the pollsters: ‘Nostradamus’ bashes rival after both election predictions flopped
Lichtman is known as the “Nostradamus” of election predictions after accurately predicting nine of the 10 presidential ...
Florida Politics4d
Presidential Election prediction markets break to Donald Trump in last hours of voting
Four of the leading Presidential Election prediction markets are bullish to varying degrees on Donald Trump on the ...
‘Simpsons’ prediction fails — for once — as Kamala Harris loses presidential election
The animated sitcom’s prediction that Kamala Harris would become the next US president didn’t come to fruition, after Donald Trump won the 2024 election on Wednesday. The show, which has infamously ...
Allan Lichtman misses presidential prediction, calls outcome ‘unfathomable'
"Right now after a very long night I am taking some time off to assess why I was wrong and what the future holds for America.