You don’t have to take my word for it. Let’s compare the average of pre-election polls — computed by FiveThirtyEight and ...

These may not be the best numbers, but they are below average errors, i.e., as I suggested previously, the average error in ...

"This is the dawn of a new era for prediction markets," Kalshi's founder said. Betting markets called Trump's win weeks ...

Now both parties are looking to the exit polls for lessons as to how Trump won, why Vice President Harris lost — and how the ...

Donald Trump outperformed expectations for his third straight presidential election, which will surely raise more questions ...

Here’s what an exit poll found. Getty Images/iStockphoto In the 2024 election, a majority of Jewish voters cast their ballots ...

Trump voted in Florida, where it is legal to wear campaign apparel at the polls. Solicitation of voters is not allowed.

We received hundreds of questions during a Reddit AMA after Trump won re-election Wednesday. Here are some of the highlights.

Harris and Trump made their final pitches to voters Monday in the same part of Pennsylvania, at roughly the same time, ...

Collectively they indicated that the presidential race would be close, and it appears they got it right without significantly ...

Exit polls don’t have a very good track record, and they can contribute to misleading narratives on election night.

Polls cross the country will remain open until at least the early evening local time as Americans cast their ballots on ...